Going
gets tough for subprime lenders - Overdue mortgages just one
factor affecting high-interest loan firms
A booming subprime mortgage industry put millions of people
in homes over the past few years, generating juicy profits
for lenders and fueling billions of dollars in mortgage-backed
securities issues.
Now, a sharp downturn for the subprime mortgage business
represents the latest sign of trouble in the teetering housing
industry.
Past-due mortgages and foreclosures have been growing over
the last 12 months. And subprime lenders are struggling
with shaky loan quality, increased competition and unusual
interest rate movements.
"The housing market is going down," said David
Liu, a mortgage analyst at UBS AG in New York. "In
a slower market, it's the weakest borrower and the weakest
lender that are the first to go."
The subprime skid claimed a local victim this month, when
Carrollton-based Sebring Capital Partners LP said it was
shuttering its operations. The failure eliminated 325 jobs,
including 140 in North Texas.
Sebring's general counsel, Michael Waldron, attributed
the company's demise to "a combination of market conditions,
unfortunately."
"We had a good group of people who worked hard to
explore every option to prevent this," he said. "We
had a very dedicated group of employees who built something
over the years, and unfortunately, we were unable to sustain
it."
The deteriorating outlook is a concern for other subprime
lenders, which extend loans to people with low credit ratings,
charging them higher interest rates than people with better
ratings would pay. Interest rates for subprime mortgages
range several percentage points above rates for prime mortgages.
The value of subprime mortgages issued has grown by more
than fivefold this decade, rising from $120 billion in 2001
to $625 billion last year, according to Inside Mortgage
Finance, a trade publication.
Some 5.7 million subprime mortgages were outstanding as
of June, or 13 percent of the total tracked by the Mortgage
Bankers Association. Subprime mortgages accounted for more
than 2 percent of the total in 2000.
Texas companies with significant subprime lending operations
include Houston-based Aegis Mortgage Corp.; Lewisville-based
EMC Mortgage Corp., which is owned by Bear, Stearns &
Co. Inc.; and Lewisville-based Nationstar Mortgage LLC,
formerly known as Centex Home Equity Co.
Two sides to their story
Subprime companies are often vilified as predatory lenders
that smooth-talk customers into taking on loans they can't
afford. In some cases, the reputation is well-deserved,
consumer-advocates say.
But subprime mortgage firms have also played a big role
in putting people with low credit scores into homes of their
own.
Today, the U.S. homeownership rate -- the percentage of
occupied housing units that are occupied by their owners
-- stands at 69 percent.
That compares with 65.1 percent at the end of 1995, according
to the Census Bureau. Over the previous 15 years, the rate
had declined slightly from 65.5 percent.
The growth of subprime lending -- fueled by new technologies
and new mortgage products -- could have accounted for as
much as half of the increase, according to two economists
at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Jonas Fisher and
Saad Quayyum.
"Subprime lending appears to be a very significant
factor," Mr. Fisher said.
Lately, however, the subprime mortgage business has been
showing signs of trouble.
Seriously delinquent subprime mortgages -- loans either
in foreclosure or at least 90 days past due -- accounted
for 6.2 percent of the subprime portfolio as of the end
of June, compared with 5.8 percent 12 months earlier. The
serious delinquency rate for prime mortgages was 0.8 percent
at the end of June, compared with 0.7 percent 12 months
earlier.
One source of weakness is the slowing economy. Layoffs
and stagnant wages sometimes translate into mortgage loans
not being repaid. If the economy slows further next year,
the subprime lending industry's woes could get worse.
Another problem: During the housing boom of the last few
years, some customers, perhaps guided by eager salespeople,
did indeed sign up for mortgages that they couldn't afford.
"All those creative loan packages are wonderful for
some people," said Bettye Banks, senior vice president
for education at Consumer Credit Counseling Service of Greater
Dallas. "But they're not wonderful for everybody."
Other challenges
Subprime mortgage lenders face other challenges as well:
--Increased competition and declining profitability.
"Subprime has always been characterized by pretty
wide margins, but those margins have been compressed a lot
over the last year and a half or so," said John Bancroft,
managing editor at Inside Mortgage Finance. "In part,
volume has kind of flattened out. And also, there's been
a lot more competition from the larger, more monolithic
companies that are active in all parts of the mortgage business."
--Interest rates. Many subprime mortgage lenders borrow
money at short-term interest rates, lend it at long-term
interest rates and turn a profit because long-term rates
are usually higher than short-term rates.
Lately, however, that profit spread has been erased, as
interest rates on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes
have dipped below the rates for two-year Treasuries.
"That has just killed subprime companies," said
Sam Garcia, publisher of MortgageDaily.com, a Dallas-based
online publication.
--Buybacks. Lenders such as Sebring Capital typically sell
the mortgages they issue to larger concerns that then package
them into securities.
But if the mortgages do not meet certain standardized requirements,
or if borrowers stop paying soon after the loans are made,
lenders can be forced to buy them back.
Left with questions
Sebring Capital would have faced all those challenges,
but company executives declined to provide a detailed explanation
of the firm's failure, beyond Mr. Waldron's brief comments.
Even authorities were left scratching their heads. Asked
what happened at Sebring Capital, John Fleming, general
counsel of the Texas Department of Savings and Mortgage
Lending, said, "That's a good question, I don't know
either."
"We were faxed a notice that effective Dec. 1, Sebring
Capital was ceasing operations and not accepting new loan
applications," Mr. Fleming said.
Industry analysts said loan buybacks might have played
a significant role in bringing down Sebring Capital. A large
number of buybacks could have presented the company with
liabilities that outstripped its assets.
Sebring Capital issued mortgages totaling $930 million
last year, according to National Mortgage News. That made
the company the 54th largest subprime mortgage lender nationwide.
Sebring Capital issued mortgages worth $921 million in
2004, and $966 million in 2003, according to National Mortgage
News.